Michael L. Hauge
All writing

January 1, 2020

Things Take Time

We overestimate the changes that can occur in the short term but underestimate the changes that result in the long term. Notes on why building the right business slowly often beats building the wrong one quickly.

We overestimate what can change in the short term and underestimate what can change in the long term.

Most start-ups take 10+ years to develop before they make a splash. We read about Uber growing to ~$50BB in five years, or Bytedance, or Inc. Magazine's fastest growing companies citing 2143% year-over-year growth.

Are these great targets to shoot for? Maybe. Maybe not.

A company can serve more customers and still be the worse business. 10,000 customers with 40% churn may be more profitable than 1,000 customers with 95% retention. The latter is actually a business for its customers. The former is a charade.

At the margins, a choice must be made to prioritize one over the other.

What we're seeing every day in the news are companies that sought a billion users in four years as their goal. Maybe they've achieved that goal. But they've certainly cut a few corners along the way. I also can't even begin to fathom how difficult it is to run an organization of that magnitude. Keeping 300,000 people, or millions of customers, on the same page must be a terrific challenge.

A company should grow at the rate that best supports the needs of its customers at the deserving price. Not at the rate that causes them further expense.

Things take time.